Desarrollo energético en América Latina y la economía mundial

DESARROLLO ENERGÉTICO EN AMÉRICA LATINA y LA ECONOMíA MUNnlAL on US multinational oil companies it is not likely to be severe -and it shoud not be. While it is politicaUy popular to support such a tax there is no evidence that it is warranted. Truth NfJ 8. The US coal industry now produces approximately 650 million tons per year. That output will double over the next ten years. The Iargest single factor promoting coal conversion by indus– trial and power generating facilities is the price of oil. Truth NfJ 9. Nuclear power can be expanded with acceptable safety and environmental risk. The United States will double its nuclear power capacity over the next ten years. Truth NQ 10. A renewed eHort toward development of an advan– ced breeder reactor and nuclear fuel recycle system will begin in the early 1980s. The French, Canadians and Soviets now appear to have the lead in breeder design, but the US has the capability to catch up fairly quickly. Truth N9 11. The conflict between energy production and envi– ronmental improvement has eased sorne and further compromise on both sides is likely to come in the years immediatly ahead. Truth NfJ 12. Even with increased production and improved ener– gy conservation the US will be a significant importer oE oil, natural gas, and liquified natural gas through the 19805. Truth NfJ 13. There is a very high chance of a major disruption oE the flow oE world oil supply over the next five years. Such a digo ruption couId occur without warning and without the sponsorship ol any oil producing government. It would be in the best Ínterests ol producers as well as consumers if major importers such as the United States accumulated a siza'ble oil stockpile... and hope that it is never needed. Truth N9 14. AH advancing technologies including, solar, geo– thermal, coal gas, coal liquids, gasohol, wind, waves, tidal range, and others, will not produce more than 3% of total US energy requirements by 1990. However, between now and then the market will be sorting out the most workable of new technologies and the process oí commer– daI development will then begin in earnest to replace conventional forms of energy. 118