Proceedings of the 12th International INQUA meeting on paleoseismology, active tectonic and archaeoseismology

R E S U LT S A N D D I S C U S S I O N In the previous section, we presented the input parameters chosen to perform a PFDHA analysis. The final output is composed of a hazard curves (Figure 3), which indicates the annual probability of exceeding a given displacement level. Figure 3 show the obtained hazard curves, on the Fault 10-Po2, Monferrato, considering different parametrizations of the input data. All of the curves show a plateau for displacements lower than 20 cm, considering that for higher values, the annual probability of exceedance, rapidly decreases. Figure 3 shows the different combinations of Probability of occurrence of surface faulting and Displacement ⃒ Average Displacement equations (in brackets). In the Fault 10-Po2, Monferrato, the maximum annual probability of exceedance expected, at the plateau level, is included between 1-3 * 10-4 corresponding to probability of exceedance between 1.5% and 0.5% in 50 years and between 9% and 3% in 300 years (i.e., expected lifetime for the plant). Fig. 3: Hazard curves calculated on the Fault 10- Po2, Monferrato, Northern Italy.